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Red41
623712.4
51479.1
381418.8
Blue71
253115.8
278321.7
418717.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3562020801001204171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3814
#15
18.80.7
13.313.9
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.3
blue by 2.8
2783
#16
21.71.2
22.824.1
Auto7.7
Teleop10.6
End3.3
Second
6237
#37
12.40.4
10.911.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.2
End0.5
blue by 4.9
4187
#25
17.32.0
14.516.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.8
End0.9
Third
5147
#24
9.10.7
10.811.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 6.7
2531
#33
15.81.5
15.316.8
Auto6.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed