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Red66
476624.7
741712.9
132912.3
Blue55
11788.2
128814.4
942816.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424420305060706655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.8
20.321.1
Auto11.3
Teleop11.6
End1.7
red by 7.9
9428
#32
16.70.6
18.819.4
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Second
7417
#17
12.90.8
6.47.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End2.1
blue by 1.5
1288
#22
14.41.0
9.110.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.7
Third
1329
#14
12.31.3
12.213.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End0.0
red by 4.1
1178
#44
8.21.0
10.611.7
Auto2.2
Teleop4.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed