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Red43
639122.4
433016.1
68177.3
Blue39
87194.0
120828.5
674414.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494420304060704339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6391
#10
22.40.1
21.021.1
Auto8.1
Teleop12.4
End2.0
blue by 6.1
1208
#11
28.50.2
24.824.6
Auto8.7
Teleop19.0
End0.9
Second
4330
#18
16.10.1
11.011.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End1.3
red by 1.4
6744
#29
14.70.4
11.110.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End1.9
Third
6817
#39
7.30.1
9.89.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End1.0
red by 3.3
8719
#36
4.00.2
6.36.1
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed