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Red35
128814.4
741712.9
517610.0
Blue100
393731.2
49319.4
278321.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2983020406010012014035100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1288
#22
14.40.3
10.810.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.7
blue by 16.9
31.21.8
35.737.5
Auto11.8
Teleop16.7
End2.7
Second
7417
#17
12.90.2
8.98.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End2.1
blue by 8.8
2783
#16
21.71.8
24.426.2
Auto7.7
Teleop10.6
End3.3
Third
5176
#34
10.00.3
12.712.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.4
End-0.0
red by 0.7
4931
#26
9.42.9
8.411.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned