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Red73
903115.4
432925.8
297813.1
Blue31
11788.2
639122.4
71179.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554102060801007331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.81.0
23.524.5
Auto9.6
Teleop14.8
End1.3
red by 3.3
6391
#10
22.40.5
21.821.3
Auto8.1
Teleop12.4
End2.0
Second
9031
#13
15.41.0
12.413.4
Auto6.4
Teleop6.1
End2.9
red by 6.3
7117
#28
9.10.9
8.27.3
Auto5.0
Teleop2.0
End2.1
Third
2978
#35
13.11.6
12.414.0
Auto5.5
Teleop5.3
End2.3
red by 4.9
1178
#44
8.20.9
8.98.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed