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Red55
339710.4
807714.6
51479.1
Blue21
74967.9
517610.0
50455.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422602060801005521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8077
#20
14.60.4
14.014.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.1
End2.9
red by 4.6
5176
#34
10.00.5
12.411.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.4
End-0.0
Second
3397
#27
10.40.4
11.411.8
Auto6.7
Teleop3.5
End0.2
red by 2.6
7496
#30
7.90.5
6.45.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.5
End1.7
Third
5147
#24
9.10.4
10.711.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End0.9
red by 4.0
5045
#41
5.10.5
6.86.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed