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Qual 362024 St. Louis Regional
Red55
68177.3
476624.7
93123.5
Blue8
278321.7
76622.9
2408-0.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54380206080100558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4766
#3
24.70.5
23.1→23.6
Auto11.3
Teleop11.6
End1.7
red by 3.0
2783
#16
21.71.9
26.2→24.3
Auto7.7
Teleop10.6
End3.3
Second
931
#7
23.50.9
14.7→15.5
Auto7.5
Teleop13.3
End2.8
red by 20.6
7662
#46
2.91.9
6.3→4.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.4
End-0.5
Third
6817
#39
7.30.9
9.4→10.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End1.0
red by 7.6
2408
#42
-0.33.2
4.0→0.8
Auto0.8
Teleop-2.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed