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Red62
425616.1
173235.6
623712.4
Blue63
432925.8
128814.4
120828.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666655607075806263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.2
31.631.4
Auto11.0
Teleop21.0
End3.6
red by 7.0
1208
#11
28.50.2
24.925.1
Auto8.7
Teleop19.0
End0.9
Second
4256
#19
16.10.3
15.114.8
Auto8.4
Teleop6.7
End1.0
blue by 9.6
25.80.2
24.524.7
Auto9.6
Teleop14.8
End1.3
Third
6237
#37
12.40.2
12.812.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.2
End0.5
blue by 2.0
1288
#22
14.40.4
10.510.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed