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Red39
19395.5
87194.0
452233.3
Blue48
132912.3
903115.4
384315.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6142020801001203948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.30.9
33.432.5
Auto11.1
Teleop18.7
End3.5
red by 17.9
9031
#13
15.40.1
13.413.2
Auto6.4
Teleop6.1
End2.9
Second
1939
#43
5.51.5
11.810.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.2
End1.3
blue by 9.6
3843
#31
15.10.1
12.512.3
Auto8.6
Teleop5.6
End0.9
Third
8719
#36
4.00.9
7.36.4
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End0.4
blue by 8.3
1329
#14
12.30.2
14.214.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed