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Red65
74528.7
55835.9
170649.1
Blue26
71179.1
418717.3
297813.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7938020601001201401606526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.1
47.247.1
Auto17.1
Teleop26.2
End5.8
red by 31.8
4187
#25
17.31.5
16.515.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.8
End0.9
Second
7452
#40
8.70.2
10.910.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.7
End0.1
blue by 4.4
2978
#35
13.11.5
14.012.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Third
5583
#45
5.90.2
8.38.2
Auto2.6
Teleop2.4
End0.9
blue by 3.1
7117
#28
9.11.5
8.87.4
Auto5.0
Teleop2.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed