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Red60
747213.1
393731.2
120828.5
Blue35
942816.7
940117.9
49319.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8443020601001201406035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.21.1
35.734.6
Auto11.8
Teleop16.7
End2.7
red by 13.3
9401
#12
17.90.9
16.715.8
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Second
1208
#11
28.51.1
25.524.4
Auto8.7
Teleop19.0
End0.9
red by 11.8
9428
#32
16.70.6
17.817.2
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Third
7472
#21
13.11.6
9.78.1
Auto5.8
Teleop4.6
End2.6
red by 3.7
4931
#26
9.40.9
9.08.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed