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Red9
903115.4
253115.8
87194.0
Blue59
50455.1
476624.7
432925.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386402080100120959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2531
#33
15.81.9
18.016.1
Auto6.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
blue by 9.9
25.80.4
24.724.3
Auto9.6
Teleop14.8
End1.3
Second
9031
#13
15.41.9
13.211.3
Auto6.4
Teleop6.1
End2.9
blue by 9.3
24.70.4
23.623.3
Auto11.3
Teleop11.6
End1.7
Third
8719
#36
4.01.9
6.44.5
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End0.4
blue by 1.2
5045
#41
5.10.6
6.35.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed