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Red44
68177.3
297813.1
741712.9
Blue48
384315.1
623712.4
128814.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37400102030506070804448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2978
#35
13.11.1
12.613.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.3
End2.3
blue by 2.1
3843
#31
15.10.5
12.312.8
Auto8.6
Teleop5.6
End0.9
Second
7417
#17
12.90.7
10.811.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End2.1
blue by 1.5
1288
#22
14.40.8
10.811.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.7
Third
6817
#39
7.31.1
10.311.4
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End1.0
blue by 5.1
6237
#37
12.40.5
12.613.1
Auto5.6
Teleop6.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed