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Red43
68177.3
132912.3
19395.5
Blue69
433016.1
806922.0
623712.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39471020306070804369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1329
#14
12.32.4
16.013.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 9.7
22.02.4
14.016.4
Auto5.9
Teleop12.4
End3.7
Second
6817
#39
7.32.4
11.18.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End1.0
blue by 8.8
4330
#18
16.12.4
14.116.5
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End1.3
Third
1939
#43
5.52.4
9.36.8
Auto3.0
Teleop1.2
End1.3
blue by 6.8
6237
#37
12.41.5
13.214.7
Auto5.6
Teleop6.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed