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Red48
381418.8
940117.9
50455.1
Blue95
452233.3
2408-0.3
170649.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31990501504895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3814
#15
18.81.2
16.818.0
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.3
blue by 30.2
49.10.9
48.349.2
Auto17.1
Teleop26.2
End5.8
Second
9401
#12
17.91.3
15.416.7
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.2
blue by 15.4
33.30.9
33.534.3
Auto11.1
Teleop18.7
End3.5
Third
5045
#41
5.11.2
4.15.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End0.3
red by 5.4
2408
#42
-0.31.4
-0.11.3
Auto0.8
Teleop-2.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsEarned