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Red95
128814.4
175644.2
93123.5
Blue56
517610.0
432925.8
674414.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8343020601001201409556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.21.0
39.740.7
Auto13.3
Teleop25.2
End5.7
red by 18.4
25.80.5
23.524.0
Auto9.6
Teleop14.8
End1.3
Second
931
#7
23.51.5
17.719.2
Auto7.5
Teleop13.3
End2.8
red by 8.9
6744
#29
14.70.8
13.414.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End1.9
Third
1288
#22
14.41.5
12.814.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.7
red by 4.3
5176
#34
10.00.8
6.47.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.4
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
52%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed