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Red51
339710.4
418717.3
476624.7
Blue56
120828.5
741712.9
807714.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5457203040507080901005156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.1
24.524.6
Auto11.3
Teleop11.6
End1.7
blue by 3.9
1208
#11
28.50.2
25.325.5
Auto8.7
Teleop19.0
End0.9
Second
4187
#25
17.30.2
16.616.8
Auto5.6
Teleop10.8
End0.9
red by 2.7
8077
#20
14.60.3
13.513.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.1
End2.9
Third
3397
#27
10.40.2
8.18.3
Auto6.7
Teleop3.5
End0.2
blue by 2.4
7417
#17
12.90.2
12.112.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed