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Qual 662024 St. Louis Regional
Red40
940117.9
674414.7
19395.5
Blue37
741712.9
74528.7
339710.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423202060804037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9401
#12
17.90.2
15.8→15.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.2
red by 5.0
7417
#17
12.90.2
12.3→12.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End2.1
Second
6744
#29
14.70.2
14.2→14.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End1.9
red by 4.2
3397
#27
10.40.3
8.3→8.6
Auto6.7
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Third
1939
#43
5.50.2
6.8→6.7
Auto3.0
Teleop1.2
End1.3
blue by 3.2
7452
#40
8.70.3
9.1→9.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed