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Red47
49319.4
50455.1
120828.5
Blue61
74967.9
476624.7
639122.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3958020801004761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#11
28.50.6
24.425.0
Auto8.7
Teleop19.0
End0.9
red by 3.9
24.70.4
24.625.0
Auto11.3
Teleop11.6
End1.7
Second
4931
#26
9.40.9
8.29.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End2.1
blue by 13.1
6391
#10
22.40.4
21.021.4
Auto8.1
Teleop12.4
End2.0
Third
5045
#41
5.10.9
5.36.2
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End0.3
blue by 2.7
7496
#30
7.90.5
4.75.2
Auto2.6
Teleop3.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed