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Red29
128814.4
297813.1
132912.3
Blue69
639122.4
747213.1
806922.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4653203040607080902969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1288
#22
14.41.2
14.713.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.7
blue by 8.1
6391
#10
22.41.1
21.422.5
Auto8.1
Teleop12.4
End2.0
Second
2978
#35
13.11.2
13.111.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.3
End2.3
blue by 8.9
22.01.7
16.418.0
Auto5.9
Teleop12.4
End3.7
Third
1329
#14
12.31.2
14.613.4
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 0.8
7472
#21
13.11.5
9.010.6
Auto5.8
Teleop4.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned