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Red48
418717.3
433016.1
74967.9
Blue71
93123.5
452233.3
903115.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3980020601001204871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4187
#25
17.30.5
16.917.4
Auto5.6
Teleop10.8
End0.9
blue by 16.0
33.30.2
34.434.6
Auto11.1
Teleop18.7
End3.5
Second
4330
#18
16.10.5
17.818.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End1.3
blue by 7.5
931
#7
23.50.3
19.219.5
Auto7.5
Teleop13.3
End2.8
Third
7496
#30
7.90.5
5.25.8
Auto2.6
Teleop3.5
End1.7
blue by 7.5
9031
#13
15.40.2
14.014.3
Auto6.4
Teleop6.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned