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Red78
278321.7
452233.3
741712.9
Blue74
173235.6
639122.4
942816.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74822040601001201407874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.30.3
34.635.0
Auto11.1
Teleop18.7
End3.5
blue by 2.3
35.60.0
34.334.3
Auto11.0
Teleop21.0
End3.6
Second
2783
#16
21.70.3
20.721.1
Auto7.7
Teleop10.6
End3.3
blue by 0.8
6391
#10
22.40.0
22.522.6
Auto8.1
Teleop12.4
End2.0
Third
7417
#17
12.90.3
12.512.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End2.1
blue by 3.8
9428
#32
16.70.0
16.516.6
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsEarned