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Red55
674414.7
623712.4
903115.4
Blue61
297813.1
93123.5
747213.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46473035405055605561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9031
#13
15.40.9
14.315.2
Auto6.4
Teleop6.1
End2.9
blue by 8.2
931
#7
23.51.7
19.521.2
Auto7.5
Teleop13.3
End2.8
Second
6744
#29
14.71.1
13.915.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End1.9
red by 1.6
2978
#35
13.11.5
11.913.5
Auto5.5
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Third
6237
#37
12.40.9
13.214.1
Auto5.6
Teleop6.2
End0.5
blue by 0.7
7472
#21
13.11.5
10.612.1
Auto5.8
Teleop4.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed