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Red32
517610.0
11788.2
807714.6
Blue31
425616.1
87194.0
50606.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382801020506070803231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8077
#20
14.60.5
15.114.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.1
End2.9
blue by 1.5
4256
#19
16.10.0
15.515.4
Auto8.4
Teleop6.7
End1.0
Second
5176
#34
10.00.5
9.59.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.4
End-0.0
red by 3.2
5060
#38
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Third
1178
#44
8.20.5
8.78.2
Auto2.2
Teleop4.8
End1.2
red by 4.2
8719
#36
4.00.0
4.04.0
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed