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Red91
384315.1
93123.5
940117.9
Blue89
806922.0
120828.5
381418.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587440801001209189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#7
23.50.5
22.823.3
Auto7.5
Teleop13.3
End2.8
blue by 5.0
1208
#11
28.50.4
27.227.6
Auto8.7
Teleop19.0
End0.9
Second
9401
#12
17.90.5
17.317.7
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.2
blue by 4.0
22.00.5
20.521.0
Auto5.9
Teleop12.4
End3.7
Third
3843
#31
15.10.5
14.515.0
Auto8.6
Teleop5.6
End0.9
blue by 3.7
3814
#15
18.80.5
17.417.8
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.3