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Red67
76622.9
476624.7
452233.3
Blue73
328418.8
425616.1
639122.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6965204060801001206773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.30.0
33.633.6
Auto11.1
Teleop18.7
End3.5
red by 10.9
6391
#10
22.40.1
22.822.7
Auto8.1
Teleop12.4
End2.0
Second
24.70.0
25.025.0
Auto11.3
Teleop11.6
End1.7
red by 5.9
3284
#23
18.80.1
19.419.2
Auto5.5
Teleop13.1
End0.2
Third
7662
#46
2.90.0
3.23.3
Auto2.1
Teleop1.4
End-0.5
blue by 13.2
4256
#19
16.10.1
16.816.7
Auto8.4
Teleop6.7
End1.0