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Red50
219116.2
692123.0
1123.8
Blue96
10217.9
121829.2
434227.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727440506080901001105096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#46
23.81.0
23.922.9
Auto7.8
Teleop11.9
End4.1
blue by 5.4
1218
#23
29.21.3
27.428.7
Auto11.4
Teleop13.3
End4.5
Second
6921
#45
23.01.0
24.123.1
Auto9.3
Teleop10.6
End3.1
blue by 4.3
4342
#12
27.31.3
23.524.8
Auto11.0
Teleop13.9
End2.4
Third
2191
#59
16.21.0
17.116.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.4
End1.3
blue by 1.7
102
#49
17.91.3
15.817.1
Auto7.5
Teleop9.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsEarned