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Red106
27226.7
741424.8
622617.0
Blue76
83423.4
599217.7
909426.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677540608010012010676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#27
26.70.9
25.025.9
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End6.9
blue by 0.2
9094
#30
26.90.3
28.128.4
Auto12.8
Teleop13.3
End0.8
Second
7414
#44
24.80.9
21.522.5
Auto12.4
Teleop11.8
End0.6
red by 1.4
834
#41
23.40.3
21.722.0
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End2.4
Third
6226
#34
17.00.9
15.216.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End4.0
blue by 0.7
5992
#56
17.70.3
16.817.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
57%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed