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Red76
167635.3
543817.4
260733.0
Blue63
249524.0
22226.1
851327.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97894060801201401601807663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.8
35.734.8
Auto9.9
Teleop19.5
End5.9
red by 7.6
8513
#21
27.71.3
28.827.6
Auto10.2
Teleop12.6
End4.8
Second
2607
#14
33.00.8
33.032.2
Auto12.1
Teleop17.5
End3.3
red by 6.8
222
#33
26.11.3
26.725.4
Auto8.2
Teleop15.3
End2.7
Third
5438
#42
17.40.8
17.817.0
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End0.8
blue by 6.5
2495
#29
24.01.3
26.325.0
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed65%Ensemble oddsEarned