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Red49
901518.6
457317.4
55527.6
Blue114
272025.8
139137.1
589538.1
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691075015020049114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#25
27.61.2
28.427.2
Auto11.2
Teleop13.3
End3.2
blue by 10.4
38.11.5
36.738.1
Auto14.6
Teleop20.2
End3.3
Second
9015
#58
18.61.2
19.117.9
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7
blue by 18.5
1391
#22
37.11.5
31.633.1
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End2.4
Third
4573
#57
17.41.2
19.718.5
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End1.3
blue by 8.4
2720
#28
25.81.5
23.925.4
Auto8.6
Teleop15.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsEarned