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Red105
71420.9
259034.1
42727.7
Blue83
331435.0
363728.3
125712.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807405010015010583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.12.3
31.033.3
Auto12.0
Teleop18.0
End4.1
blue by 0.9
3314
#11
35.00.9
32.833.7
Auto12.9
Teleop18.1
End4.0
Second
427
#37
27.72.3
22.324.6
Auto9.9
Teleop17.4
End0.4
blue by 0.6
3637
#18
28.30.9
23.824.7
Auto7.8
Teleop18.6
End1.9
Third
714
#20
20.92.3
17.920.2
Auto8.4
Teleop9.3
End3.2
red by 8.7
1257
#54
12.20.9
10.811.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned57%Ensemble oddsMissed