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Red72
711014.7
7521.5
902718.6
Blue87
5623.9
314223.6
116833.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50960204060801201401607287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#43
21.51.4
20.021.5
Auto10.0
Teleop8.6
End2.9
blue by 12.3
1168
#26
33.70.0
33.934.0
Auto15.2
Teleop18.5
End0.1
Second
9027
#47
18.61.4
17.218.6
Auto6.3
Teleop10.6
End1.7
blue by 5.3
56
#50
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End1.9
Third
7110
#53
14.71.4
13.214.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.2
blue by 8.9
3142
#35
23.60.0
23.523.6
Auto5.6
Teleop16.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed