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Red106
140333.0
108925.7
272226.9
Blue74
219116.2
428527.1
121829.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877805010015020010674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.01.9
28.730.6
Auto11.0
Teleop20.3
End1.6
red by 3.8
1218
#23
29.20.2
28.728.9
Auto11.4
Teleop13.3
End4.5
Second
2722
#24
26.91.9
25.026.9
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End2.5
blue by 0.2
4285
#40
27.10.2
26.927.0
Auto12.6
Teleop13.8
End0.7
Third
1089
#36
25.71.9
23.825.7
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End2.2
red by 9.5
2191
#59
16.20.2
16.116.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsMissed