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Red96
83423.4
29318.9
31636.7
Blue85
36524.7
1123.8
434227.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848002004006008001,0009685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#5
36.71.4
35.637.0
Auto14.7
Teleop19.2
End2.8
red by 9.4
4342
#12
27.30.8
24.825.6
Auto11.0
Teleop13.9
End2.4
Second
834
#41
23.41.4
22.023.4
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End2.4
blue by 1.3
365
#32
24.70.8
24.725.6
Auto8.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Third
293
#60
18.91.4
17.518.9
Auto10.3
Teleop9.6
End-1.0
blue by 4.9
11
#46
23.80.8
22.923.8
Auto7.8
Teleop11.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsEarned