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Red97
540123.6
253932.7
363728.3
Blue84
260733.0
704520.5
272025.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86877080901001109784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
#16
32.71.2
31.833.0
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1
blue by 0.2
2607
#14
33.00.4
32.232.6
Auto12.1
Teleop17.5
End3.3
Second
3637
#18
28.31.2
24.725.9
Auto7.8
Teleop18.6
End1.9
red by 2.5
2720
#28
25.80.4
25.425.8
Auto8.6
Teleop15.3
End1.8
Third
5401
#31
23.61.2
22.423.6
Auto12.3
Teleop8.8
End2.5
red by 3.1
7045
#55
20.50.4
20.120.5
Auto6.3
Teleop12.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsEarned41%Ensemble oddsMissed