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Red70
21926.2
48414.2
22322.5
Blue61
457317.4
331435.0
249524.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71870204060801001201401607061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#19
26.21.0
27.226.2
Auto10.6
Teleop14.4
End1.2
blue by 8.8
3314
#11
35.01.1
33.732.6
Auto12.9
Teleop18.1
End4.0
Second
223
#13
22.51.0
23.922.9
Auto12.1
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 1.4
2495
#29
24.01.1
25.024.0
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End2.9
Third
484
#39
14.21.0
15.214.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End3.0
blue by 3.2
4573
#57
17.41.1
18.517.4
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned66%Ensemble oddsMissed