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Red109
543817.4
10335.8
34140.9
Blue115
42727.7
139137.1
741424.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10586050150200109115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#17
40.90.4
40.841.3
Auto11.3
Teleop25.8
End3.8
red by 3.8
1391
#22
37.12.3
33.135.4
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End2.4
Second
103
#10
35.80.4
35.035.4
Auto11.8
Teleop21.4
End2.6
red by 8.0
427
#37
27.72.3
24.626.9
Auto9.9
Teleop17.4
End0.4
Third
5438
#42
17.40.4
17.017.4
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End0.8
blue by 7.4
7414
#44
24.82.3
22.524.8
Auto12.4
Teleop11.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed