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Red70
32116.9
518128.0
599217.7
Blue78
125712.2
192334.7
55527.6
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658120401001207078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5181
#15
28.00.6
27.428.0
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End2.6
blue by 6.7
34.70.4
32.633.1
Auto6.9
Teleop24.5
End3.4
Second
5992
#56
17.70.6
17.117.7
Auto7.2
Teleop9.9
End0.7
blue by 9.9
555
#25
27.60.4
27.227.6
Auto11.2
Teleop13.3
End3.2
Third
321
#48
16.90.6
16.316.9
Auto8.8
Teleop7.0
End1.0
red by 4.7
1257
#54
12.20.4
11.812.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed55%Ensemble oddsMissed