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Red88
116833.7
249524.0
71420.9
Blue69
589538.1
32116.9
108925.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80900501001502008869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1168
#26
33.70.7
32.132.7
Auto15.2
Teleop18.5
End0.1
blue by 4.4
38.11.4
38.937.5
Auto14.6
Teleop20.2
End3.3
Second
2495
#29
24.00.7
26.327.0
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End2.9
blue by 1.7
1089
#36
25.71.4
23.021.6
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End2.2
Third
714
#20
20.90.7
14.815.4
Auto8.4
Teleop9.3
End3.2
red by 4.0
321
#48
16.91.4
17.916.5
Auto8.8
Teleop7.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed