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Red80
55527.6
568428.2
272226.9
Blue93
692123.0
7521.5
31636.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847402040601001201401608093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5684
#38
28.20.3
24.825.2
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End2.1
blue by 8.5
316
#5
36.71.6
30.832.4
Auto14.7
Teleop19.2
End2.8
Second
555
#25
27.60.3
25.225.5
Auto11.2
Teleop13.3
End3.2
red by 4.7
6921
#45
23.01.6
22.924.5
Auto9.3
Teleop10.6
End3.1
Third
2722
#24
26.90.3
25.025.3
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End2.5
red by 5.4
75
#43
21.51.6
14.816.5
Auto10.0
Teleop8.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned