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Red68
34140.9
219116.2
851327.7
Blue77
27226.7
331435.0
704520.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87877080901001106877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#17
40.90.8
34.633.8
Auto11.3
Teleop25.8
End3.8
red by 5.9
3314
#11
35.00.1
33.733.6
Auto12.9
Teleop18.1
End4.0
Second
8513
#21
27.70.8
27.626.8
Auto10.2
Teleop12.6
End4.8
red by 0.9
272
#27
26.70.1
24.724.5
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End6.9
Third
2191
#59
16.20.8
16.215.3
Auto5.5
Teleop9.4
End1.3
blue by 4.3
7045
#55
20.50.1
20.720.6
Auto6.3
Teleop12.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsMissed89%Ensemble oddsMissed