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Red82
167635.3
83423.4
518128.0
Blue64
253932.7
272025.8
108925.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8181606570758590951008264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.4
29.930.3
Auto9.9
Teleop19.5
End5.9
red by 2.5
2539
#16
32.70.6
33.432.8
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1
Second
5181
#15
28.00.4
23.323.7
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End2.6
red by 2.2
2720
#28
25.80.6
16.215.6
Auto8.6
Teleop15.3
End1.8
Third
834
#41
23.40.4
20.220.7
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End2.4
blue by 2.3
1089
#36
25.70.6
23.623.0
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned43%Ensemble oddsMissed