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Red64
253932.7
1123.8
48414.2
Blue102
164034.4
127922.1
180737.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7788406010012014016064102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
#16
32.70.5
34.233.8
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1
blue by 4.2
37.01.6
35.336.9
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End2.5
Second
11
#46
23.80.5
22.422.0
Auto7.8
Teleop11.9
End4.1
blue by 10.7
34.41.6
27.529.0
Auto9.9
Teleop22.3
End2.3
Third
484
#39
14.20.5
14.413.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End3.0
blue by 7.9
22.11.6
15.817.3
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsEarned30%Ensemble oddsMissed