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Red78
901518.6
741424.8
331435.0
Blue63
29318.9
272226.9
428527.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82816070901001101207863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#11
35.00.2
35.135.3
Auto12.9
Teleop18.1
End4.0
red by 7.9
4285
#40
27.10.7
28.928.2
Auto12.6
Teleop13.8
End0.7
Second
7414
#44
24.80.2
21.621.9
Auto12.4
Teleop11.8
End0.6
blue by 2.1
2722
#24
26.90.7
25.224.5
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End2.5
Third
9015
#58
18.60.2
17.617.8
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7
blue by 0.3
293
#60
18.90.7
19.018.3
Auto10.3
Teleop9.6
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed