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Red84
259034.1
909426.9
21926.2
Blue77
36524.7
518128.0
260733.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91860501502008477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.1
29.829.9
Auto12.0
Teleop18.0
End4.1
red by 1.2
2607
#14
33.00.1
29.829.7
Auto12.1
Teleop17.5
End3.3
Second
9094
#30
26.90.1
25.025.1
Auto12.8
Teleop13.3
End0.8
blue by 1.1
5181
#15
28.00.1
24.424.3
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End2.6
Third
219
#19
26.20.1
27.127.2
Auto10.6
Teleop14.4
End1.2
red by 1.5
365
#32
24.70.1
24.224.1
Auto8.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed