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Red107
55527.6
34140.9
116833.7
Blue103
436119.5
71420.9
167635.3
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11166204080100120140160180107103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#17
40.90.2
34.835.0
Auto11.3
Teleop25.8
End3.8
red by 5.6
35.31.2
31.232.4
Auto9.9
Teleop19.5
End5.9
Second
1168
#26
33.70.2
33.533.7
Auto15.2
Teleop18.5
End0.1
red by 12.8
714
#20
20.91.2
14.916.2
Auto8.4
Teleop9.3
End3.2
Third
555
#25
27.60.2
26.626.8
Auto11.2
Teleop13.3
End3.2
red by 8.1
4361
#52
19.51.2
18.719.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsEarned