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Red91
457317.4
31636.7
599217.7
Blue46
540123.6
219116.2
543817.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7658020401001201401609146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#5
36.70.9
32.933.7
Auto14.7
Teleop19.2
End2.8
red by 13.1
5401
#31
23.60.9
21.820.8
Auto12.3
Teleop8.8
End2.5
Second
5992
#56
17.70.9
14.915.8
Auto7.2
Teleop9.9
End0.7
red by 0.3
5438
#42
17.40.9
16.315.4
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End0.8
Third
4573
#57
17.40.9
19.220.0
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End1.3
red by 1.2
2191
#59
16.20.9
16.615.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed