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Red86
140333.0
902718.6
589538.1
Blue58
22226.1
10217.9
83423.4
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93700204060801201401608658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.2
36.636.7
Auto14.6
Teleop20.2
End3.3
red by 12.0
222
#33
26.10.5
23.923.4
Auto8.2
Teleop15.3
End2.7
Second
33.00.2
27.027.2
Auto11.0
Teleop20.3
End1.6
red by 9.6
834
#41
23.40.5
21.921.4
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End2.4
Third
9027
#47
18.60.2
17.817.9
Auto6.3
Teleop10.6
End1.7
red by 0.7
102
#49
17.90.5
20.019.5
Auto7.5
Teleop9.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed