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Red55
32116.9
434227.3
27226.7
Blue86
108925.7
7521.5
10335.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67832040601001201405586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
#12
27.30.5
22.021.6
Auto11.0
Teleop13.9
End2.4
blue by 8.4
103
#10
35.80.9
33.134.0
Auto11.8
Teleop21.4
End2.6
Second
272
#27
26.70.5
23.823.3
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End6.9
red by 1.0
1089
#36
25.70.9
22.323.2
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End2.2
Third
321
#48
16.90.5
16.415.9
Auto8.8
Teleop7.0
End1.0
blue by 4.6
75
#43
21.50.9
17.618.4
Auto10.0
Teleop8.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned35%Ensemble oddsMissed