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Red55
21926.2
180737.0
36524.7
Blue76
851327.7
428527.1
127922.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1007940601201401605576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.02.3
36.934.5
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End2.5
red by 9.3
8513
#21
27.70.8
28.127.2
Auto10.2
Teleop12.6
End4.8
Second
219
#19
26.22.3
27.224.9
Auto10.6
Teleop14.4
End1.2
blue by 0.9
4285
#40
27.10.8
28.227.4
Auto12.6
Teleop13.8
End0.7
Third
365
#32
24.72.3
24.121.8
Auto8.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
red by 2.6
22.10.8
17.316.5
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsEarned